The maddening innumeracy of hurricane models

These are two cycles of models for Hurricane Dorian taken merely 24 hours apart. Do you notice something about them? There is zero overlap between them. There is no mathematical way that the folks running these scenarios are representing the actual range of possible outcomes. The consequences of these mathematical failures are huge. Yesterday, reporters … Continue reading The maddening innumeracy of hurricane models

For those seeking solid information on Hurricane Dorian

Levi Cowan, a graduate student studying tropical cyclones at Florida State University and obviously one of the brightest young scientists in this country, does some incredible videos on hurricanes. He is on Twitter at @tropicaltidbits and has a website, tropicaltidbits.com. He's posting a lot of the reconnaissance data on the hurricane as it comes in, … Continue reading For those seeking solid information on Hurricane Dorian